Tua Tagovailoa record in cold weather: Dolphins QB aims to ‘kill the narrative’ on Thanksgiving in Green Bay

The Dolphins are finally looking like the team many expected them to be this season, entering Thanksgiving on a three-game winning streak with an offense as hot as the NFL. Could this momentum carry over to Green Bay?

Tua Tagovailoa is now fully back up and running after a horrific incident concussionHe believes Lambeau Field will have no problem performing in below-freezing temperatures. The Dolphins QB told reporters he was “excited to kill narratives” on Thanksgiving Day in Green Bay, adding, “Let’s go for it.”

Tagovailoa grew up in Hawaii, spent his college career in the SEC and has been with the Dolphins since entering the NFL. It’s no surprise that he hasn’t adapted well to the cold, but a defeat on Thursday could deal a serious blow to Miami’s rising playoff hopes and cast further doubt on whether it can win in suboptimal conditions.

Let’s take a look at Tagovailoa’s performance in cold weather during the Dolphins’ matchup with the Packers.

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Tua Tagovailoa record in cold weather

Tagovailoa is 0-7 as an NFL quarterback when the temperature is 45 or lower. It is 0-4 when the temperature is 40 degrees or lower. When high fever exceeds 45 degrees, it occurs between the ages of 36 and 15.

Even though Tagovailoa calls the idea that he can’t realize in cold weather a “narrative,” there definitely seems to be something behind this story. It’s hard to explain a 0-7 record, even if most of those games took place under difficult conditions. But until we get to this point, it’s hard to win on the road against the Bills or Chiefs, even if it’s 80 degrees.

Tagovailoa’s last game in the cold weather was the Dolphins’ 27-6 wild-card round loss to the Chiefs in January. Miami was disadvantaged by injuries on both sides of the ball, and on Tagovailoa’s defense, it wasn’t just cold, it was painfully cold, with temperatures at -4 degrees at kickoff.

Patrick Mahomes got the job done, though, and the Dolphins quarterback’s tumultuous night further reinforced the idea that he’s a different player in this cold snap.

Here’s what you need to know about Tagovailoa’s stats in cold weather games.

Tua Tagovailoa stats in cold weather

Tagovailoa made four starts in games that never exceeded 40 degrees. Here are their numbers:

MORE: Dolphins’ play-off chances entering the 13th week

While most quarterbacks are at least slightly less effective in cold weather, which favors running plays, Tagovailoa’s sub-70 passer rating and sub-55 percent completion percentage are cause for concern. Without a win in hand, the narrative will likely continue unless the Dolphins can knock off an impressive Packers team on Thanksgiving.

Dolphins vs. Packers weather forecast

Tagovailoa looks set to escape the snow, as the forecast calls for only a nine percent chance of snow in Green Bay on Thursday night, but he won’t escape the cold. Temperatures are expected to be close to 27 degrees near the start of Thanksgiving. According to The Weather Channelmaking it one of the coldest (but definitely not) the The coldest games of Tagovailoa’s career.

Winds are expected to be between 10-12 mph, so the weather shouldn’t be too stormy at Lambeau Field, with only a two percent chance of snow.

Unlike Tagovailoa’s snowy game in Buffalo two years ago, the only thing he has to deal with in Green Bay is the cold. He believes he is built to win in all weathers, but if he doesn’t perform on Thanksgiving, the “narrative” will get louder.