Iran signals control of Lebanon during Israel-Lebanon agreement negotiations

Saying that he would accept any agreement Lebanon Iranian affairs expert Roi Kahanovich said that Iran is trying to reflect its “real power” status in Lebanon after the agreements signed with Israel Maariv in a recent interview.

“This means that, on the one hand, the Iranians are in control in Lebanon and at the same time they are pursuing their own interests,” he explained.

Kahanovich explained that Iran’s interests in the agreement focus on two main points. These aspects are that they “continue to improve their nuclear program” and “begin to improve their nuclear program.” HezbollahHe described him as “Iran’s most important proxy on the Israeli border.”

According to Kahanovich, “There is no official statement at the moment, but I believe that in the coming hours, as we get closer to a ceasefire or the signing of the agreement, we will see various tweets from regime officials themselves.”

Despite Iran’s intervention, Western powers, especially the United States and FranceThey are leading diplomatic efforts towards a ceasefire.

Smoke rises over the southern suburbs of Beirut following an Israeli offensive, as seen from Baabda, Lebanon, on November 24, 2024, amid ongoing hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces. (Source: REUTERS/MOHAMED AZAKIR)

“For France, it’s about their historic ties to Lebanon, while the Americans see themselves as a global power seeking to exert influence,” Kahanovich said.

Iran changed its strategy in the face of threats against Israel

Evaluating the latest developments in the context of Iran’s threats against Israel, Kohanovich said, “Let’s not forget that Iran has not stopped its threats of retaliation. Their so-called ‘justifiable promise number three’ states that they will attack Israel.”

However, he assessed that Iran’s relatively measured attacks and the possibility of Donald Trump’s re-election shaped Iran’s stance.

“It is very likely that the possibility of Trump’s comeback will cause Iran to come down from the high tree it has climbed.”

As for Iran’s role and influence on the situation in Gaza, Kohanovich painted a complex picture.

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“There is no doubt that Iran is a key player influencing groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah, Islamic Jihad and others,” he said.

“As much as Iran wants it and really pushes for some kind of deal, then it can happen,” Kohanovich predicted, but added, “Iran is not fully committed right now because they want to see which way the wind goes.” blows.”

Kohanovich explained that Iran’s thinking is also influenced by the need to reestablish forces.

“They have suffered significant losses in manpower, weapons and other resources,” he added, noting that Iran is oscillating between its regional ambitions and the changing political landscape.

Iran changed its strategy in the face of threats against Israel

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