Giants vs Steelers Prop Bets for Monday Night Football

Prop bet #1: Najee Harris over 61.5 rushing yards

-113 on FanDuel

It seems Najee Harris He may be finally unlocking his Pro Bowl potential. The former first-round pick ranks 10th in the NFL in rushing yards (478) and is averaging the most rushing yards per game (68.3) since his rookie year.

Harris has also been at her best lately. He carried the carry 35 times for 208 yards and two scores while breaking the record for 100 yards in consecutive games.

Arthur Smith’s offense is starting to work for the 26-year-old and having Wilson behind center is only helping his cause. As dynamic as Justin Fields is, defenses could have tackled Harris sooner.

This season, Harris has faced eight-plus men’s boxers at the 12th-highest clip among rushers with at least 80 carries (17.09%), according to Next Gen Stats.

Opponents need to respect the pass a little more now, especially after how well Wilson played last week on Sunday Night Football. And the Giants’ defense has struggled to stop the run this season.

New York allows the eighth-most rushing yards per game (138.1) in the NFL and ranks 19th in EPA per defensive rushing yards. Last week, Saquon Barkley took the lead against Shane Bowen’s defense with 176 points in just 17 carries.

Missed tackles were a problem for us New York GiantsThere are 58 points so far this season, according to PFF. This will likely continue to be an issue for Harris, who is seventh in the NFL in rushing yards after contact (362) and third in missed tackles forced (30).

It is poised to surpass that number for the sixth time in eight games this season.

Prop bet #2: Devin Singletary under 31.5 rushing yards.

-113 on FanDuel

There are a handful of reasons Devin Single We will struggle to exceed this number. First of all, Giants All-Pro left tackle Andrew Thomas is out this season, and this offensive line already ranks third-worst in the NFL in run blocking by PFF.

That alone would make Singletary’s job difficult, but he would later make this matchup Pittsburgh Steelers front seven and it gets a lot harder. Pittsburgh’s defense ranks third in the NFL in EPA per rush and allows the second-fewest rushing yards per game in the league (81.0).

It’s not like Pittsburgh plays terrible running backs either. This defense held Breece Hall, JK Dobbins, Jonathan Taylor and Bijan Robinson to an average of just 59.5 rushing yards. All four of these backs rank in the Top 25 in rushing yards in the NFL this season.

Singletary, who missed two games due to injury, has just 239 yards through five games (47.8 per game). While solid, it’s not good enough to overcome bad blocks; He averages the most 31 yards per carry after contact in the league (3.16).

In Singletary’s return from injury last week, he had just five carries for 18 yards and was forced into zero missed tackles. He played just 21% of the Giants’ offensive snaps in the matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles.

That’s because rookie Tyron Tracy has proven to be more effective behind Brian Daboll. He played 67% of the games against the Eagles.

With Singletary sharing the backfield, the Giants’ offensive line issues, and the Steelers’ relentless defense, the veteran running back will have a hard time reaching that number.

Claim #3: Malik Nabers’ over 6.5 receptions

+116 on FanDuel

He may be a rookie, but it’s clear Malik Nabers He’s already the best offensive player the Giants have, and Daboll clearly knows it.

Nabers has 7+ goals in every game this season, including a 2-4 record. Including double-digit targets in weeks. He then missed the Giants’ Weeks 5 and 6 games with a concussion before facing the Eagles last week.

Even when New York returned to the court, he didn’t hesitate to give him the ball. Even though he only had four receptions for 41 yards, he still had eight targets.

Given that the rust brought on by missing two games is no longer a factor, I would expect Daboll to feature his young star early and often. Despite playing fewer games than any pass catcher in the Top 17, Nabers ranks eighth in the NFL in receptions (39).

He also ranks sixth in touchdowns (60) and caught more than 8 passes in the three games before his concussion. While Pittsburgh’s defense is one of the best in the NFL, it ranks outside the Top 10 in EPA per return return (14th) and just two weeks ago, when Brock Bowers caught nine passes against the Steelers, a 6.5 to a star rookie. He gave up more than 1 reception.

In the first round, LSU was 13th in the NFL in yards per route run (2.25), 11th in first down receptions (23) and 32nd in QB rating when targeted (104.3), with Daniel Jones often We expect him to continue on his way. .