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Pittsburgh vs. SMU Picks and Predictions – College Football Week 10

Pittsburgh vs. SMU Picks and Predictions – College Football Week 10

Pittsburgh brings its undefeated record to Dallas on Saturday night, but SMU is a significant betting favorite. Our college football betting picks will happily score points on this point.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

November 1, 2024 • 09:00 ET

• 4 minute read

Prepare for an outstanding Saturday night ACC conference matchup as the Pittsburgh Panthers meet the SMU Mustangs under the bright lights of Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

The Panthers are underdogs in the college football standings despite being one of the FBS’ eight undefeated teams.

My Pittsburgh and SMU predictions and college football picks A tough and physical match awaits us, which the Panthers will play on Saturday, November 2.

Pittsburgh vs SMU prediction and best bet

my best bet
Pittsburgh +7.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Selections made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

my analysis

Pittsburgh Panthers They went 7-0 for the first time since 1982 and became one of only eight undefeated FBS teams in the country.

The Panthers’ offense is humming behind speedy QB Eli Holstein. Pitt is averaging 40 points per contest and they can beat teams with Holstein’s arm or legs. Holstein threw for 1,805 yards and 17 touchdowns, plus an additional 286 rushing yards and three TDs.

Holstein and Panthers face opportunistic attack SMU Mustangs Defense with 17 turnovers and four defensive TDs. They surrendered the fourth-fewest yards (327) and points per tilt (21.7) in the conference, but they allowed more than 21 points in three of their previous five.

Meanwhile, Pitt’s defense may be better than its offense. They surrendered an average of 14 points with 10 sacks and 5 picks. Pitt is also allowing 347 total yards, which amounts to an ACC sixth-best 22 points per game.

The Pitt stop unit will have its hands full. SMU ranks fourth in the ACC in scoring (39 points) behind sophomore Kevin Jennings and is averaging 443.5 yards per game from scrimmage.

Jennings is a dual-threat quarterback with 1,594 passing yards and 321 rushing yards. It has 13 tank destroyers in total and has enough assault weapons to make a preacher swear.

But the Panthers’ defense is opportunistic and aggressive enough to slow down Jennings and the offense. Jennings threw three picks in last week’s overtime win against the Duke Blue Devils, and his indecisiveness and mediocre reads won’t do much good against Pitt.

Holstein and the Panthers’ offense has a nice rhythm and is good enough to score against SMU. Take the Panthers to cover the home run on Saturday night.

Pittsburgh and SMU same game matchup (SGP)

Pittsburgh +7.5

Eli Holstein 2+ passing TD

below 57.5

I like to see Pitt play a lower scoring game, and I like to see Holstein score two goals.

Holstein threw 2+ TD passes in six of his seven starts. The Mustangs’ secondary was torched for 16 home runs and 238 passing yards per slant.

These defenses are formidable and highly opportunistic. They bend but don’t break much. Saturday’s matchup will be a physical contest, and those defenses are the main reason why Pitt and SMU remain undefeated in the ACC despite a slew of highly-skilled offensive players.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Pittsburgh-SMU betting odds

Pittsburgh-SMU live betting odds

Pittsburgh-SMU opening odds

  • Difference between Pittsburgh and SMU: SMU -7.5
  • Pittsburgh and SMU money line: Pittsburgh +240 | SMU-300
  • Pittsburgh vs. SMU Over/Under: 57.5

Rates courtesy BetMGM

Pittsburgh and SMU spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Pittsburgh is 6-1 in the ATS and 2-0 in the ATS this season.
  • SMU is the favorite this season at 5-2 ATS and 3-3 ATS.
  • Saturday’s total rose as high as 62.5 (-110) but dropped sharply to 57.5 (-110). Strong defenses will probably be responsible for the line move.
  • Pittsburgh has a 4-3-0 Over/Under record against the Under, while SMU has a 4-3-0 record against the Over this season.

Knowing the Pittsburgh and SMU betting trend

Pittsburgh has closed the spread in eight of its last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI). find more college football betting trends For Pittsburgh and SMU.

Pittsburgh vs SMU game information

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
History: Saturday, 11-2-2024
To start: 20:00 ET
TV: ACC Network

Latest injuries between Pittsburgh and SMU

Pittsburgh-SMU weather

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