Five reasons why Donald Trump will win the US election

Donald Trump completed a monumental comeback After winning the US presidential election Four years after he was elected from the White House.

The 78-year-old Republican candidate’s victory in the swing state of Wisconsin pushed him over the threshold of 270 electoral college votes needed to secure the presidency. It was expected to be a close race with Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris We are neck and neck in the polls.

But early results pointed to a landslide for Trump, who had 277 electoral college votes as of 2.30pm UK time, while Democrat Kamala Harris had 224 votes, with four of five states still counting votes towards the red.

Trump’s political career appeared to be over after his false claims of election fraud led a group of his supporters to attack the US Capitol on January 6, 2021; But Trump swept away his rivals within the Republican Party and made a new bid to return to the White House. He will claim to be the 47th US president, telling his supporters that “America has given us unprecedented and powerful authority.”

Here, Yahoo News highlights some of the key elements that made Trump’s comeback possible.

Read the full breakdown of major updates or click below to jump to each section

> ‘It was the economy, stupid’

> Shift in voters’ loyalty helped Trump win

> Trump is more powerful than four years ago

> Trump supporters motivated by immigration

> Trump overperformed in rural areas

‘It was the economy, stupid’

There will be no end to the numbers to be tallied after the darkest, most dramatic White House campaign of our lifetime. But there is one point to focus on: 45%.

That’s the number of U.S. voters nationwide who say in exit polls that their family’s financial situation is worse today than it was four years ago. That compares with just 20% who felt worse after the 2020 election after Donald Trump’s first term.

For now, the old adage coined by Bill Clinton’s strategist James Carville has been proven true. What’s most important? “The economy is stupid.”

These voters’ shifting loyalties helped Trump win the election

While the Republican candidate broadened his support by splitting voters from two key Democratic constituencies, realignment among Latino voters and a smaller shift among Black voters in key swing states helped propel Donald Trump to an electoral victory over Kamala Harris.

Although Trump fell short of a majority in either group, he had the support of about 13% of Black voters nationally and 45% of Latino voters, according to CNN’s exit polls. In the 2020 election, Trump won just 8% of Black voters and 32% of Latino voters.

Trump’s gains with Latino voters come despite his harsh rhetoric against immigrants… Arturo Munoz, a truck driver from Phoenix, Arizona, said Trump’s sweeping message to address high costs resonated with him and other Latino men still struggling he said. to earn a living.

Trump is more powerful than four years ago

Trump didn’t lose re-election by much in 2020. If a few thousand votes had swung the other way in a few key states, she would have become president instead of Joe Biden.

So any shift towards Trump in 2024, however small, had the potential to be decisive. A big part of this move is winning red states more than expected; Losing fewer blue states didn’t confuse the electoral math.

But it reflected larger demographic and geographic trends that could propel Trump to victory in crucial battleground states once all the votes are counted.

Trump supporters motivated by immigration, data shows

The motivations of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump voters who cast ballots in Tuesday’s presidential election were quite different.

Trump voters were more motivated by economic issues and immigration… About half of his supporters described the economy and employment as the most important problem facing the country, while about a third said the most important problem was immigration.

Harris’s base, by contrast, was focused on a broader range of issues. About 3 in 10 people cited the economy as the most important issue, while about 2 in 10 mentioned abortion and about 1 in 10 mentioned health care or climate change.

Trump overperformed in rural areas

Trump’s margins in rural America appear too large to overtake.

It turns out the former president actually had more votes to pull from in counties like Huntingdon in central Pennsylvania, a short drive from the Penn State University campus; here he is on pace to outpace both the vote total and the one-quarter margin. Years ago.

Harris’ performance on the respective wickets was almost the exact opposite. The small numbers may seem negligible in the larger scheme of such a large, expensive and obviously complex election, but they add up. And on Tuesday, the math looked to be in Trump’s favor.