Slotkin leads Rogers by 5 points for US Senate: Free Press poll

In the race for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, a new Free Press poll shows Democratic U.S. Rep. Elissa Slotkin with a 5 percentage point lead over Republican former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers. There is significant progress towards Election Day next Tuesday.

Survey conducted by EPIC-MRA of Lansing for the Free Press and its media partners. He cited Slotkin, a three-term congressman from Holly who lives in White Lake and leads Rogers, who is leaving Congress 47%-42% after seven two-year periods in 2015. Another 6 percent preferred to vote for a third candidate, while 4 percent were undecided, refused to answer or said they would not vote in the race.

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. For the survey, EPIC-MRA contacted 600 randomly selected voters across the state. Slotkin had a 46%-42% lead in the pollster’s previous poll in August.

With control of the Senate at stake in this year’s election, the race between Rogers and Slotkin is gaining national attention and some polling. Including a study by USA TODAY and Suffolk University and reported this week by the Free PressEven though Slotkin was ahead, he showed that he was even tighter.

The seat opened early last year when Democratic U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow said she would not seek a fifth six-year term. No Republican has won a U.S. Senate seat in Michigan since Spencer Abraham, who served one term before being beaten by one-term congressman Stabenow in 1994.

The poll showed that of the 18% of all voters who listed abortion rights as their main concern, 79% supported Slotkin and 14% supported Rogers; Among the 30% who said their main concerns were inflation and the cost of living, Rogers fared better, with support from 66% of respondents, but Slotkin received 22%.

Rogers’ support in the poll largely tracked Republican former President Donald Trump’s race against Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, but fell slightly short of those levels. For example, among the 13% who said immigration was their top concern, Trump supported Harris by 90% to 6%. While Rogers received support from 82% of these voters, 7% preferred Slotkin, while 11% preferred a third party or were undecided.

The poll showed white voters split down the middle, 46%-46%; Among black voters, it was Slotkin who trailed Harris in her latest poll numbers. The vice president, who is running to become the first woman, black woman and woman of South Asian descent to run for president, led Trump in that key bloc by 87%-5%, while Slotkin’s support was 78%-7%, with 15% undecided. or choosing a third-party candidate.

Still, Slotkin had some distinct advantages. Rogers has an 84% to 7% lead among self-identified Republicans, but a 90% to 4% lead among Democrats, with a significant group of independent voters opposing him, 45% to 26%, and another 28%. i is undecided or prefers the third. party candidate. Rogers, a former FBI agent and chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, had a 49% to 42% lead among men, while Slotkin’s lead among women was much larger, 52% to 37%.

Among the 31% of respondents who said they voted via early voting or absentee ballot in the polls, Slotkin was ahead of Rogers, 65%-33%. He tops 49% to 38% of the 62% who expect to vote in person at the polls, including 13% who say they are open to a third party or are still undecided.

Contact Todd Spangler: [email protected]. Follow him on Twitter@tsspangler

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